Speaker: Dr. Choo-Oon Kong
Chief Political Analyst
Global Business Environment Team
Shell International
Date: June 2, 2011
Time: 10.30am - 12.00 noon
Venue: Asia-Pacific Economic Cooperation
Conference Room
35 Heng Mui Keng Terrace
Singapore 119616
Note: This seminar will be held under Chatham House rules: "when a meeting, or part thereof, is held under the Chatham House Rule, participants are free to use the information received, but neither the identity nor the affiliation of the speaker(s), nor that of any other participant may be revealed."
Abstract
For almost half a century, Shell has used scenarios to gain a deeper understanding of global developments and the world's energy supply, use and needs. Scenarios have helped Shell make crucial choices in uncertain times, as the world grapples with tough energy and environmental issues.
Three years ago, Shell made public its Energy Scenarios to 2050, which remain a credible vision of what may lie ahead. These scenarios have influenced Shell's strategic direction, while also being aimed at contributing to the global public debate on energy and the environment.
Since 2008, however, we have seen a financial crash, the deepest economic slump in 70 years, and a patchy and fragile recovery. There has also been a range of dramatic developments affecting a shifting energy landscape, from the increasing prominence of natural gas, to most recently, political transitions in the Middle East and a nuclear crisis in Japan.
We look at what these signals mean for the global energy system and what are the signposts pointing the way forwards for a post-financial crisis world which looks dramatically different. And we ask what these events mean for our energy outlooks.
About the speaker
Dr. Cho-Oon Khong is Chief Political Analyst in the Global Business Environment team, Shell International, with over 15 years of experience in leading and participating in country scenario projects. Cho advises on political trends and political risk analysis for the Shell Group, and leads the external environment assessments for the Group’s country reviews. He was actively involved in developing the 1995, 1998, 2001 and 2005 sets of Shell Global Scenarios and the 2008 Shell Energy Scenarios.
Cho is an active scenarios practitioner, focusing on using scenarios in futures thinking. He has worked on a range of scenario projects with international organisat ions, governments, universi t ies, research inst i tut ions and business companies in Asia, Europe, the US and Africa. He is a member of the advisory panel of the Evian Group based at IMD, Lausanne, and a member of the UK government’s Asia Task Force.
Cho is particularly interested in issues of political development in East Asia and the Middle East. He previously taught Politics and International Political Economy at the University of Bath and the National University of Singapore. He was a Senior Economist at the Commonwealth Secretariat in London and Laski Scholar at St John’s College, Cambridge. He graduated from the University of Singapore, and received his M.Sc. and Ph.D. from the London School of Economics.
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